NUNZIUM

For decades, the island of Taiwan has been at the centre of a delicate geopolitical balancing act between the United States and China. The roots of the conflict date back to 1949, when the Chinese Civil War ended with the Communist Party taking control of mainland China and the defeated Nationalist Party retreating to Taiwan. While Taiwan sees itself as a sovereign nation, China considers it a breakaway province, with reunification being an ultimate goal – by force if necessary. August 2022 marked a new chapter in the ongoing struggle as US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi paid a high-profile visit to Taiwan, the first of such ranking since the 1990s. In response, China conducted unprecedented military exercises, firing ballistic missiles into the seas around Taiwan. This move signalled Beijing's determination to maintain its claim over the island and challenge the US's continued support for Taiwan's sovereignty.

Fast forward to early 2023, and tensions between the two superpowers continue to escalate. Following a meeting between Taiwan's President Tsai Ing-wen and US House Speaker Kevin McCarthy in California, China initiated large-scale military exercises around the island. The People's Liberation Army (PLA) deployed an aircraft carrier, long-range rockets, vessels, fighter jets, and conventional missiles, applying pressure on Taiwan from all directions. The exercises were a stern warning to Taiwan and its engagement with external forces, particularly the US. Meanwhile, the US has supported Taiwan in various ways, including selling arms and military equipment. A delegation of US defence contractors is reportedly planning a trip to Taiwan in May 2023, seeking to promote defence industry cooperation and joint production of drones and ammunition. The move is seen as an attempt to strengthen the island's military capabilities while provoking China, which accuses the US of taking advantage of Taiwan's shortcomings in the defence industry for profit.

China's official stance remains firm: Taiwan is an integral part of its territory, and any attempts at "Taiwan independence" will be met with force. Chinese President Xi Jinping has reiterated that reunification with Taiwan "must be fulfilled," and the country's military exercises serve as a potent reminder of this goal. Conversely, the US supports Taiwan, emphasising the importance of democracy and self-determination. Washington has called for China to exercise restraint, but the continuous military and diplomatic support offered to Taiwan only fuels the tension between the two superpowers.

The importance of these events cannot be overstated. As the world's two largest economies, the US and China significantly shape the global landscape. Their ongoing power struggle over Taiwan could destabilise the region and threaten international peace and security. Furthermore, the delicate balance of power could be easily tipped by a single misstep, leading to a full-scale military conflict with devastating consequences for humanity. The Taiwan issue remains a tinderbox at the heart of the geopolitical rivalry between the US and China. As both superpowers continue to flex their military and diplomatic muscles, the risk of miscalculation and escalation only grows. It is a high-stakes game of chess, and the fate of Taiwan – and potentially the world – hangs in the balance.